Prismatic Evolutions is the most hyped Pokemon TCG set in a long, long time, and already we have something of an idea of what the pull rates are going to be from this incredible set. With highly anticipated cards like the Umbreon ex Special Illustration Rare allegedly already fetching tens of thousands of dollars online and many more getting posted as presales for well over $1000, your pull rates could make or break the bank for you. Whether you are just looking for a few nice hits, or trying to catch ‘em all, here are the pull rates you should know about.

Where is the pull rates for Prismatic Evolutions data coming from?

These pull rates are based on a post shared by Pokemon-Switch Stock on X claiming it is derived from 2,700 packs opened thus far on WhatNot streams over the past week. While not irrefutable evidence, it feels likely enough that there’s some truth to these pull rates and 2700 is certainly a significant amount of data to draw from. Still, more thorough pull rate studies will undoubtedly be performed as the set hits the shelves so I would expect the final pull rates to differ from these below. Still, it’s exciting to have SOME data from this set to go off of. Here’s why.

Why are Prismatic Evolutions pull rates important to know?

The reason why it’s highly impactful to know the pull rates from Prismatic Evolutions is that they are sort of the missing piece of the formula that will determine how valuable this set and the chase cards within it are actually going to be. All of the components of a hit set are here: the hype, the nostalgia, the Eeveelutions and a massive number of secret rares. However, we haven’t known the pull rates, and that’s a big missing piece.

Pull rates impact the popularity of a pack in different ways. On the one hand, low pull rates tend to make a set slightly less popular. If you have not odds of pulling anything then there is less mental reward for opening packs. However, ultra high pull rates can also be an issue as they will diminish the value of the rare cards available. This is basic economics and the rules of supply and demand.

However, given the sheer number of secret rares available in this set, players should have plenty of reason to hunt cards as typically a greater volume of secret rares means more odds of getting hits even if your odds of pulling a specific chase isn’t so good.

What are the pull rates for Prismatic Evolutions?

Now let’s get into the pull rates of every single type of card you can find in your Prismatic Evolutions products.

Full art trainer cards

Full art trainer cards fall in the ultra rare bucket in Pokemon TCG and they are often pretty fun cards to pull from packs if not always the most valuable. Your odds of pulling a full art trainer are 1/16 or 6.2%

The odds of finding any specific card is pretty slim, sitting at 1/192 packs or .5%

Master Ball Holo

For the first time in an International set, we are getting alternate types of reverse holo cards. The most sought after of these is the rare Master Ball Holo pattern that you can get etched into your card. These specifically will be available on Eeveelution cards from the main set. As it so happens, the pull rates for these particular reverse holo master ball cards is pretty good, sitting at healthy 5.2%. However, given the number of cards that you can get a Master Ball print on, your odds of pulling a specific master ball promo are very slim, resting at .07%.

ACE SPEC

ACE SPECs are pretty powerful cards for players but not usually a huge hit among collectors. Still, if you are a fan of these violet colored cards you have a decent chance of pulling one from your packs. The pull rate for ACE SPEC cards in Prismatic Evolutions is 3.4%. I will say, however, that it doesn’t look like there will actually be that many ACE SPEC cards to collect in this set so that could be partly to explain for that relatively low pull rate.

Special Illustration Rare

The big one for this set: Special Illustration Rare cards: the holy grail of Pokemon cards in the Scarlet & Violet era. It’s in the SIRs that you will typically find the most expensive Pokemon cards as well as the coveted Umbreon ex SIR. And, actually, as chance would have it, the SIR pull rate appears to be pretty decent, stitting at almost 2%. That’s probably because of just how many SIRs you can get in this set (there’s a ton of great ones). However, this can also be a double edged sword. Having plenty of SIRs to pull may increase the pull rate of this desirable card, but it also drives the odds of pulling a specific card far, far down.

If you are looking just for that Umbreon ex SIR, for example, your odds are pretty abysmal, sitting at .05%.

Hyper Rare (Gold Cards)

Lastly, your odds of pulling a hyper rare are pretty slim as they typically tend to be, sitting at .6% for any hyper rare and just.1% for a specific hyper rare. This low pull rate will undoubtedly catapult cards like the Pikachu ex hyper rare to crazy heights in value as this set rolls out.

How do Prismatic Evolutions Pull Rates compare to Evolving Skies?

Generally speaking, these pull rates actually look a bit better than Evolving Skies.

The nearly 2% pull rate for SIRs is well above the 1.2% for alternate art V cards we had in Evolving Skies, and massively above the .3% chance of pulling an alt art VMAX card like Umbreon VMAX alt art. So if you are hoping to pull any old SIR card your odds are much better in Prismatic Evolutions if this data ends up being true, while your odds of pulling a specific card are about the same.

Meanwhile, the odds of pulling a hyper rare card are slightly less in Prismatic Evolutions than they were in Evolving Skies.

While we will undoubtedly get more info and data into the pull rates from Prismatic Evolutions, so far it looks like pull rates are low enough to drive a lot of demand for specific alt arts while high enough to keep collectors hunting for more products because of decent odds of getting hits.

Given the odds of pulling a specific SIR being almost the same as it was in Evolving Skies, I think we very well could see the likes of Umbreon ex SIR soaring to similar heights as Umbreon VMAX after all.

Prismatic Evolutions Pull Rates: What’s Your Chance of Pulling an Umbreon?